NFP June 2026: Disappointing Jobs, Deceptive Unemployment - The Fed Trapped Ahead of the FOMC
The U.S. employment report for July 3 presents an end-of-cycle paradox: job creation is slowing, but the unemployment rate is falling—not due to economic strength, but because of a shrinking labor force linked to tighter migration policies. Markets are relieved, but Warsh's Fed doesn't have a free hand.
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