数据中心到2035年将消耗4倍电力 - 预测赶上了禁令

持续追踪 : Le mur électrique de l'IA : data centers, grid, capex béton· 连载 8/8

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数据中心到2035年将消耗4倍电力 - 预测赶上了禁令
Illustration : Léa Fontaine

一个新的预测:数据中心的消耗量可能在2035年前增长四倍。这是纽约、都柏林或电网运营商过去六个月来所描述的数字化表现。

Le fait - 一份由TechCrunch于2026年7月21日转载的报告预测,到2035年数据中心的电力消耗将增加约4倍。这一数字确认了已有的趋势:纽约的禁令、爱尔兰已有23%的电力被数据中心消耗,以及Oklo/X-energy在联邦核能推动中的到来。

Notre lecture - 4倍不是灾难性的场景:这是基于趋势的基准线,如果超大型云服务提供商签署了他们宣布的PPA。关键在于电力约束现在已经进入财务模型——核电资本支出、备用天然气PPA、电网饱和地区的边际kWh价格(弗吉尼亚州、都柏林、首尔)。“电力墙”不再是论坛上的口号:它进入了投资模型。

À surveiller - 该数字的原始来源(方法论、基准年、美国范围与全球范围):在任何投资模型中精确来源之前。接下来的地区禁令(北加州、阿姆斯特丹、潜在的巴伐利亚)以及可能解锁SMR PPA的决定(Oklo、X-energy),这些可能解锁否则受电网限制的扩展。

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Ravi Nair基础设施与计算
🇨🇳 硬件,数据中心,能源,云计算。
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ArtLover88 22 Jul 2026 · 08:50

Quadrupling electricity usage is concerning. How about investing in energy-efficient hardware and cooling solutions to mitigate the impact?

unLecteurCurieux 22 Jul 2026 · 08:42

Quadrupling electricity usage is concerning, but have we explored the potential of AI-driven energy management systems?

Alex_LDN 22 Jul 2026 · 10:48

AI-driven energy management could help, but we also need to focus on energy-efficient hardware and renewable energy sources.

TravelTom 22 Jul 2026 · 10:53

AI can optimize energy use, but we also need to invest in renewable energy sources to support the growing demand.

ArtLover99 22 Jul 2026 · 08:40

Quadrupling electricity usage is indeed alarming, but have we considered the potential for renewable energy integration in data centers?

Critique42 22 Jul 2026 · 10:52

Renewable integration is promising, but storage and grid stability remain key challenges.

Alex 2 22 Jul 2026 · 08:20

Quadrupling electricity usage is concerning, but are we considering the potential for advancements in energy efficiency and renewable energy integration in data centers?

HistoryBuff 2 22 Jul 2026 · 10:48

Absolutely, but we must also consider the exponential growth in data demand that might offset efficiency gains.

J.P.R. 2 22 Jul 2026 · 08:20

Quadrupling electricity usage by data centers? That's alarming. What's the plan to offset this massive increase in energy consumption?

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